======Half a Chance: Youth Bulges and Transitions to Liberal Democracy======
In "Half a Chance: Youth Bulges and Transitions to Liberal Democracy," Richard P. Cincotta explores the impact of demographic trends on the stability of liberal democracies, predicting the rise of new stable democracies in Latin America, North Africa, and Asia before 2020.  \\ 
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^  Quick Facts  ^^
|Report location:  |[[https://foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-357/54|source]]   |
|Language:  |English  |
|Publisher:  |<WRAP> 
Environmental Change and Security Program (ecsp report) \\ 
</WRAP>   |
|Authors:  |Richard P. Cincotta  |
|Time horizon:  |2020    |
|Geographic focus:  |Latin America, North Africa, Asia, Global   |

=====Methods=====
The research method used by Richard P. Cincotta involves analyzing demographic and political trends, comparing the youth-bulge proportion with the presence of stable liberal democracies. Data from the UN Population Division and Freedom House are utilized to draw conclusions.  \\ 
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=====Key Insights=====
Richard P. Cincotta argues that the recent slowdown in global democracy is temporary, attributing it to countries with a large youth bulge being less likely to achieve stable liberal democracies. As age structures mature and fertility declines, more countries are expected to transition to liberal democracy.  \\ 
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=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2020_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2020s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>Asia_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>Global_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Latin_America_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>North_Africa_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>authoritarianism}} |  {{tag>demographic_transition}} |  {{tag>forecasting}} |  {{tag>liberal_democracy}} |  {{tag>political_stability}} |  {{tag>youth}} |  {{tag>youth_bulge}}   </span>  


~~DISCUSSION~~