======Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa======
This research quantitatively assessed the potential impact of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa.  \\ 
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^  Quick Facts  ^^
|Report location:  |[[https://foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-678/54|source]]   |
|Language:  |English  |
|Publisher:  |<WRAP> 
The Lancet \\ 
</WRAP>   |
|Authors:  | Brian Sharp,  David Le Sueur, Frank C Tanser  |
|Geographic focus:  |Africa   |

=====Methods=====
Researchers created a spatiotemporally validated model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission using long-term climate data and parasite surveys. Climate scenarios from the Hadley Centre global climate model were used to project the potential effects of climate change on malaria transmission patterns in Africa.  \\ 
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=====Key Insights=====
The study developed a model of malaria transmission in Africa, validated it with parasite surveys, and used climate scenarios to project changes in malaria exposure. The model showed that climate change could lead to a 5-7% increase in malaria distribution by 2100, with a significant rise in person-months of exposure due to longer transmission seasons.  \\ 
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=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>Africa_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>climate_change}} |  {{tag>climate_scenarios}} |  {{tag>exposure_assessment}} |  {{tag>geographic_distribution}} |  {{tag>health_impact}} |  {{tag>intervention_planning}} |  {{tag>malaria}} |  {{tag>malaria_transmission}} |  {{tag>model_validation}} |  {{tag>parasite_surveys}} |  {{tag>scenarios}} |  {{tag>seasonality}}   </span>  


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