======Prospects for Africa's 26 fragile countries======
This report forecasts the long-term fragility of 26 African countries using the International Futures system.  \\ 
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(Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\ 
  

^  Quick Facts  ^^
|Report location:  |[[https://foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-1155/54|source]]   |
|Language:  |English  |
|Publisher:  |<WRAP> 
[[encyclopedia:za_iss_institute_for_security_studies|Institute for Security Studies]] \\
African Futures Project \\ 
</WRAP>   |
|Authors:  | Timothy D Sisk, Jakkie Cilliers |
|Time horizon:  |2030    |
|Geographic focus:  |Africa   |

=====Methods=====
The research method involved using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting tool to analyze data and create long-term forecasts for 26 fragile African countries. The method included defining fragility, identifying relevant variables, and generating optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.  \\ 
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(Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\

=====Key Insights=====
The report analyzes the future of 26 fragile African countries, predicting that some will remain fragile into the mid-21st century, while others may progress towards stability and middle-income status by 2030 or 2050. It uses the International Futures forecasting tool to examine variables of fragility and provides optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. Recommendations include planning for long-term fragility, managing conflict, addressing poverty, and improving governance.  \\ 
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(Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\ 


=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>Africa_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>conflict_reduction}} |  {{tag>economic_growth}} |  {{tag>education}} |  {{tag>forecasting}} |  {{tag>fragility_syndrome}} |  {{tag>governance_improvement}} |  {{tag>health}} |  {{tag>human_development}} |  {{tag>human_security}} |  {{tag>natural-resource_exploitation}} |  {{tag>policy_recommendations}} |  {{tag>protection}} |  {{tag>scenario_analysis}} |  {{tag>state_capacity}} |  {{tag>state_fragility}} |  {{tag>urbanization}} |  {{tag>war_and_violence}}   </span>  


~~DISCUSSION~~