======Scenario Storylines for Qualitative Background Scenarios on the Future of Air Transport and its Emissions====== This report presents qualitative scenarios for the future of air transport, focusing on demand, technology, operations, and environmental impacts. \\ \\ (Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\ ^ Quick Facts ^^ |Report location: |[[https://foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-526/54|source]] | |Language: |English | |Publisher: | CONSAVE Project \\ | |Authors: |Arnulf GrĂ¼bler | |Geographic focus: |Global | =====Methods===== The research method involved developing qualitative scenario storylines based on existing IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. These were refined through a scenario workshop and reviewed by CONSAVE partners, resulting in three main scenarios with sub-scenarios for detailed exploration of regulatory impacts on high growth in air transport demand. \\ \\ (Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\ =====Key Insights===== The report outlines three qualitative scenario storylines for the future of air transport and its emissions, considering macro-trends such as demographics, economy, geopolitics, and technology. These scenarios, developed for the CONSAVE project, draw from IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. They explore varying degrees of growth in air transport volume and regulatory constraints, with a focus on sustainability, technological innovation, and geopolitical fragmentation. The scenarios aim to guide quantitative modeling and provide a range of possible futures for air transport development and its environmental implications. \\ \\ (Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\ =====Additional Viewpoints===== Categories: {{tag>English_publication_language}} | {{tag>Global_geographic_scope}} | {{tag>air_transport}} | {{tag>air_transport_demand}} | {{tag>aircraft_technology}} | {{tag>economic_growth}} | {{tag>emmisions}} | {{tag>energy}} | {{tag>environmental_impact}} | {{tag>geopolitics}} | {{tag>innovation.}} | {{tag>regulatory_constraints}} | {{tag>scenario_development}} | {{tag>sustainability}} | {{tag>technology_diffusion}} ~~DISCUSSION~~ ====== Report title ====== This is a template to help editors create library articles. Detailed instructions for using this template can be found at [[hub:library_template]]. Insert a summary of the report. ^ Quick Facts ^^ | Report location: | Insert URL link to the report | | Language: | Set the report's publication language(s) | | Publisher: | Link to the publisher's page in the Encyclopedia. Create an encyclopedia page if one does not already exist. | |Publication date: | Set the publication date, spell the name of the month followed by day of month and year e.g. Month dd, yyyy . | | Authors: | Provides the names of the individual authors if known. Delete this row if not provided / known. | | Time horizon: | Provide the year and decade of the time horizon if known. If the time horizon is a range, provide both dates and decades. Otherwise, delete this row. | | Geographic focus: | Provide the geographic focus. If the geographic focus is very narrow then provide the broader geography. For instance, the focus is a city then include the nation as well. | | Page count: | Include the number of pages in the library entry. Delete this row if unknown or not applicable. | =====Methods===== If the library entry is a report or study then describe the foresight methods used. Otherwise, delete this section. =====Key Insights===== Describe the key insights from the report. This may include a summary of the drivers, trends, issues, scenarios, etc. =====Additional Viewpoints===== Optionally, include commentary or criticism about the report. It could be your own commentary, or link conversation from other sources. Categories: Include all of the major categories in the report. Search for and use existing tags from the index of tags. Add a new tag if topic not already identified. Wrap in tags. ~~DISCUSSION~~