======The future of global value chains======
The research examines the future of global value chains (GVCs), exploring whether they will continue to expand or face a new normal of stagnation or decline. 


^  Quick Facts  ^^
| Report location:  |[[https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/science-and-technology/the-future-of-global-value-chains_d8da8760-en| source]]  |
| Language:  | English   |
| Publisher:  |[[encyclopedia:oecd|OECD]]  |
| Publication date:  |July 11, 2017  |
| Authors:  |Koen De Backeri and Dorothee Flaigi  |
| Time horizon:  | 2030 - 2035    |
| Geographic focus:  |global   |
| Page count:  |58  |

=====Methods=====
The research employs the OECD's METRO model, a static computable general equilibrium model that differentiates commodities by use, to simulate the impact of various factors on GVCs up to 2030. 

  * Scenarios are developed


=====Key Insights=====
The report investigates the growth of GVCs as drivers of globalization, considering factors that could either promote their expansion or signal a shift towards a new normal with reduced GVC activity. It assesses the potential impacts of these factors on global production and trade by 2030 through various scenarios. 

Drivers mentioned include:  
  * Open trade and investment agreements 
  * Digitalisation and ICT: new communication technologies 
  * New (low-cost) producers in manufacturing 
  * Growing demand in emerging economies 
  * Development of services 
  * The role of Multinational Enterprises (MNEs)


=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2017_publication_year}} |  {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2035_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>global_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>global_value_chains}} |  {{tag>information_technologies}} |  {{tag>information_technology}} |  {{tag>logistics}} |  {{tag>supply_chain}} |  {{tag>supply_chains}} |  {{tag>sustainability}}   </span>  


~~DISCUSSION~~