======Water Scenarios for the Zambezi River Basin, 2000 – 2050======
This report examines the potential impacts of increased water demand and climate change on the Zambezi River Basin (ZRB) by 2050, highlighting the risk of serious international conflicts over water allocation without effective cooperation.  \\ 
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^  Quick Facts  ^^
|Report location:  |[[https://foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-559/54|source]]   |
|Language:  |English  |
|Publisher:  |<WRAP> 
[[encyclopedia:ch_ethz_swiss_federal_institute_of_technology_zurich|Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich]] 
</WRAP>   |
|Authors:  | Thomas Bernauer, Lucas Beck |
|Time horizon:  |2000    |
|Geographic focus:  |Zambezi River Basin, Angola, Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Africa   |

=====Methods=====
The research utilized a computational simulation model consisting of a hydrological component to mimic natural processes and a demand model representing deterministic water demand based on actual use and projections. The model incorporated improved spatial resolution and differentiated temporal approaches to assess seasonal and long-term changes in precipitation and demand.  \\ 
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=====Key Insights=====
The Zambezi River Basin, shared by eight countries, faces potential water shortages due to increased demand and climate change. A rainfall-runoff model predicts drastic reductions in runoff, especially during the dry season, and changing shares of runoff among countries. The study suggests that without effective international water allocation rules, these changes could lead to significant transboundary impacts and conflicts.  \\ 
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=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2000_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2000s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>Africa_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Angola_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Botswana_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>Malawi_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Mozambique_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Namibia_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Tanzania_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Zambezi_River_Basin_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Zambia_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>Zimbabwe_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>climate_change}} |  {{tag>hydropower}} |  {{tag>international_cooperation}} |  {{tag>irrigated_agriculture}} |  {{tag>rainfall-runoff_model}} |  {{tag>transboundary_impacts}} |  {{tag>water}} |  {{tag>water_allocation}} |  {{tag>water_demand_scenarios}} |  {{tag>water_institutions}} |  {{tag>zambezi_river_basin}}   </span>  


~~DISCUSSION~~