The report analyzes demographic shifts and their potential impact on future U.S. presidential elections, focusing on race, age, education, gender, and generational changes.
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| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Brookings Institution |
| Publication date: | October 19, 2020 |
| Authors: | Robert Griffin, Ruy Teixeira, William H. Frey |
| Time horizon: | 2036 |
| Geographic focus: | United States, |
| Page count: | 40 |
The research method involved creating demographic projections for eligible voters, generating state-level estimates for turnout and party support, and applying these to county-level data to simulate future presidential elections under various scenarios.
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The report examines how America's changing demographics could influence presidential elections from 2020 to 2036. It updates electoral scenarios based on new census data, incorporating gender and generational cohorts, and explores the potential political impact of Millennials and Generation Z as they age.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Categories: 2020 publication year | 2030s time horizon | 2036 time horizon | English publication language | United States geographic scope | age distribution | demographic shifts | demographics | education levels | elections | electoral simulations | gender | generational cohorts | generations | political preferences | presidential elections | racial diversity | scenarios | united states geographic scope | voter eligibility