Foresight for Africa Report 2012

The International Criminal Court (ICC) process, the 2012 general elections, the implementation of the devolved constitution, and the war on Al-Shabaab are key issues that will shape Kenya's future in 2012, potentially leading to either progress or regression.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher:
Authors: Brookings Africa Growth Initiative, Mwangi S. Kimenyi
Geographic focus: Kenya, Africa

Methods

The ICC process will determine whether charges against six Kenyans are confirmed, impacting ethnic relations and governance. The 2012 general elections must be fair to avoid conflict and elect leaders who support constitutional implementation. Devolution under the new constitution aims to improve governance but poses challenges of regional inequality and community polarization. Kenya's war against Al-Shabaab in Somalia carries risks of terrorism and refugee influx, affecting national security and economy.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The ICC's decision on charges against six Kenyans accused of instigating post-election violence will influence ethnic relations and the fight against impunity. The 2012 general elections must produce fair results and progressive leaders to support the new constitution. Implementing devolved governance structures will be challenging but crucial for citizen participation and accountability. Kenya's involvement in the war against Al-Shabaab in Somalia poses risks of increased terrorism and refugee influx, impacting peace and economic performance.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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