This report presents three scenarios for the world in 2030, focusing on the impact of climate change, the potential for a democratic renaissance, and the risks of Kremlin aggression.
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Atlantic Council |
| Publication date: | April 1, 2022 |
| Authors: | Anca Agachi, Mathew Burrows, Mathew Burrows, PhD, Peter Engelke, Robert A. Manning |
| Time horizon: | 2030 - 2035 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
| Page count: | 36 |
The research method involves strategic foresight and global trend analysis, drawing on the authors' experience in the US intelligence community and beyond. It includes analyzing current trends, forecasting future scenarios, and identifying potential risks and opportunities.
The report explores ten trends shaping the future, including technological disruption, deglobalization, and climate change. It presents three scenarios for 2030: a Cold War II with China and Russia, a world transformed by climate shocks, and a democratic renaissance. It also identifies twelve risks and opportunities for 2022, such as new COVID-19 variants, Russia attacking Ukraine, and China's economic sputter.
Drivers mentioned include:
Categories: 2022 publication year | 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | 2035 time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | climate change | conflict | covid | democracy | economic growth | food | geopolitics | inequality | multipolarity | regionalism | security | sino-us tensions | technological disruption