Global Strategic Trends: Out to 2055

Across the globe, significant changes are anticipated by 2055, driven by geopolitical competition, climate change, technological advancements, and demographic shifts, impacting societies, economies, and governance structures.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source PDF
Language: English
Publication date: September 27, 2024
Publisher: UK Government Ministry of Defense
Time horizon: 2055
Geographic focus: Global
Page count: 456

Methods

The research method involved a systems-based approach, analyzing regional and thematic trends through a multidisciplinary lens. The Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC) conducted extensive data collection, workshops, and stakeholder engagement to identify key drivers and emerging trends. Various analytical techniques, including statistical analysis and causal loop analysis, were employed to refine findings and ensure logical consistency.

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Key Insights

The report outlines the Global Strategic Trends leading up to 2055, emphasizing the interconnectedness of various global drivers of change. Key trends include increasing geopolitical competition, particularly between the US and China, alongside demographic pressures such as population growth in South Asia and aging populations in East Asia. Climate change is expected to exacerbate environmental degradation and resource scarcity, leading to food and water insecurity. Technological advancements will reshape economies, with automation and artificial intelligence becoming more prevalent. The report identifies six global drivers of change: global power competition, demographic pressures, climate change, technological advances, economic transformation, and inequality. Each driver interacts with others, creating complex dynamics that will influence future global stability. The report also highlights the potential for increased political and social polarization, as well as the rise of non-state actors and organized crime. The future world order may evolve into a multipolar landscape, with emerging powers gaining influence and traditional alliances being tested. The report calls for proactive strategies to navigate these challenges and seize opportunities for cooperation and resilience.

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