Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World

This report provides a brief summary of the entire report, a more detailed summary, research methods, future time horizons, geographic scope, major topics, publisher, authors or editors, and the language of the research. It discusses key structural forces such as demographics, environment, economics, and technology, and explores dynamics within societies, states, and the international system. The report also presents scenarios for 2040, regional forecasts, and acknowledges contributors.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: US Director of National Intelligence Office
Publication date: March 1, 2021
Authors: Abraham Newman, Ali Wyne, Amitav Acharya, Barry Posen, Bear Braumoeller, Charles Kupchan, Constanze Stelzenmueller, Dale Copeland, David Kang, Douglas Rediker, Elizabeth Saunders, Harold James, Henry Farrell, Jack Snyder, Jacob Kirkegaard, Jeff Legro, Jessica Chen Weiss, John Mearsheimer, John Owen, Jonathan Kirchner, Jonathan Moreno, Kate McNamara, Keren Yarhi-Milo, Manfred Steger, Martha Finnemore, Matt Daniels, Mike Mastanduno, Miles Kahler, Mira Rapp-Hooper, Monica Toft, Randy Schweller, Robert Art, Robert Jervis, Sheri Berman, Tanisha Fazal, Tom Wright, William Wohlforth, Zach Cooper
Time horizon: 2040
Geographic focus: Global
Page count: 156

Methods

The research method involved examining previous editions of Global Trends, extensive consultations, data collection, commissioned research, synthesizing, outlining, drafting, and soliciting internal and external feedback to revise and sharpen the analysis. The process included conversations with academics, researchers, business leaders, civil society organizations, foresight practitioners, environmental groups, and students worldwide.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report examines key structural forces shaping the future, including demographics, environment, economics, and technology. It explores societal, state, and international dynamics as communities and leaders respond to these forces, indicating a world increasingly contested at every level. The report presents scenarios for 2040, regional forecasts, and acknowledges a broad range of contributors who helped shape and refine the content, including think tanks, universities, consultants, business leaders, individual scholars and experts, students, and colleagues inside and outside government.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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