Modeling megacity futures

The report explores the growth and complexity of megacities and the use of simulation models to understand their development and future trajectories.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher:

Symposium On Megacities

Authors: Dr. Paul M. Torrens
Time horizon: 2005
Geographic focus: Global, Developed World, Developing World, Los Angeles, Tokyo, Osaka-kobe, Lagos, Dhaka, Karachi, Jakarta, Kolkata, Guangzhou

Methods

The research method involves a literature review of urban studies, simulation modeling, and complexity science, combined with an analysis of urban growth data and trends. It also includes the examination of various simulation models and their applications to megacity dynamics.

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Key Insights

This report examines the increasing significance of megacities, urban agglomerations with populations over ten million, and their impact on global systems. It discusses the uneven growth of megacities, with developed regions reaching stasis and developing regions experiencing rapid expansion. The challenges of studying such large and complex systems are highlighted, and the potential of simulation models as tools for understanding megacity dynamics is explored. Various modeling approaches, including large-scale urban models and complexity-oriented methods, are reviewed. The report emphasizes the need for improved data, modeling practices, and interdisciplinary collaboration to effectively simulate and understand the future of megacities.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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