Pandemonium: Risk Factors for Future Pandemics

This report explores potential future scenarios for global health governance and pandemic response, considering geopolitical changes and the role of various actors.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: Global Governance Futures
Publication date: June 1, 2017
Authors: Chandrakant Lahariya, Elina Suzuki, Fellows: Sulzhan Bali, Kun Tang, Mara Pillinger, Rie Takesue, Sulzhan Bali
Time horizon: 2027
Geographic focus: Global
Page count: 25

Methods

The research method involved scenario planning, where the working group identified key uncertainties and created consistent combinations of future assumptions. They developed raw scenarios through morphological analysis and enriched them with background knowledge. The scenarios were then communicated through narrative writing.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report presents two scenarios set in 2027, exploring the global response to hypothetical pandemics caused by diphtheria and Nipah virus. It examines the impact of geopolitical fragmentation, vaccine skepticism, media-induced panic, and the economic consequences of fear-driven decisions. The scenarios highlight the need for diverse actors to prepare for and respond to pandemics effectively, considering the roles of agriculture, animal health, the media, and private and non-health sectors in a holistic response.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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