This report presents qualitative scenarios for the future of air transport, focusing on demand, technology, operations, and environmental impacts.
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Quick Facts | |
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Report location: | source |
Language: | English |
Publisher: |
CONSAVE Project |
Authors: | Arnulf GrĂ¼bler |
Geographic focus: | Global |
The research method involved developing qualitative scenario storylines based on existing IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. These were refined through a scenario workshop and reviewed by CONSAVE partners, resulting in three main scenarios with sub-scenarios for detailed exploration of regulatory impacts on high growth in air transport demand.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
The report outlines three qualitative scenario storylines for the future of air transport and its emissions, considering macro-trends such as demographics, economy, geopolitics, and technology. These scenarios, developed for the CONSAVE project, draw from IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. They explore varying degrees of growth in air transport volume and regulatory constraints, with a focus on sustainability, technological innovation, and geopolitical fragmentation. The scenarios aim to guide quantitative modeling and provide a range of possible futures for air transport development and its environmental implications.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | air transport | air transport demand | aircraft technology | economic growth | emmisions | energy | environmental impact | geopolitics | innovation. | regulatory constraints | scenario development | sustainability | technology diffusion
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