The report discusses potential post-referendum scenarios in Sudan, assessing the likelihood of civil war, secession, and internal violence.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
United States Institute Of Peace |
| Authors: | Jaïr Van Der Lijn, Jon Temin |
| Geographic focus: | Sudan |
The research method involved scenario development exercises conducted by the United States Institute of Peace and the Clingendael Institute, using different methodologies and participants to predict potential outcomes surrounding the referendum in Sudan.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
The United States Institute of Peace and the Clingendael Institute revisited scenarios for Sudan's future as the referendum on Southern Sudan's secession approaches. They evaluated the plausibility of various outcomes, including civil war, secession, and internal conflicts within the North and South. The report emphasizes the need for negotiation on post-referendum arrangements, engagement with opposition groups, equitable resource sharing, and strategies for Southern cohesion to avoid violence and instability.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)