This research explores potential futures for mobility in China by 2030, focusing on the interconnected impacts of market, policy, and consumer forces on transportation.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
The research method combined expert opinion with cross-impact analysis, consistency analysis, and cluster analysis using the RAHS platform to develop plausible scenarios.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
The study presents two scenarios, the Great Reset and Slowing but Growing, which illustrate different paths based on economic growth, constraints on vehicle ownership and driving, and environmental conditions. A wild-card scenario, Debt Comes Due, considers the impact of a major debt crisis.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Categories: 2030 | 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | China geographic scope | English publication language | beijing | china | demography | economic growth | economy | energy consumption | environmental conditions | income inequality | industry | innovation | labor force | mobility | mobility research | transport | transportation infrastructure | travel demand | urbanization | vehicle ownership | vehicle production