The New (Dis)Orders: Envisioning the Complex Futures of Geopolitics

The report explores future geopolitical challenges and global governance, focusing on global order, migration, and urban governance, using strategic foresight tools like scenario planning.

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: Global Governance Futures
Publication date: May 1, 2019
Authors: GGF 2030 Futures of Global Order Working Group; David BargueƱo; Darshana M. Baruah; Carolina Costa; Ambre Eyoum; Liana Fix; Liana Lim Hinch; Yuho Nishimura; Cyril Prinsloo; Hang Zhou; Wolfgang Reinicke
Time horizon: 2030
Geographic focus: global
Page count: 36

Methods

The research method involved four dialogue sessions in different cities, scenario planning, risk assessment, and engagement with policymakers and experts. The fellows from diverse sectors formed working groups to focus on key global issues and developed scenarios for the future. The methods are described in detail here

Key uncertainties were derived from expert interviews. These uncertainties were split into two scenarios: a 'pleasant' outcome and an 'unpleasant' outcome.

Scenarios include a description of key uncertainty outcomes, a history of the future timeline, factors driving the scenario, and implications. Policy interventions were developed based on the scenarios.

Key Insights

The Global Governance Futures program (GGF) brings together young professionals to envision the future of geopolitics and global governance. The GGF 2030 fellows from nine countries developed scenarios for global order, migration, and urban governance using strategic foresight tools. They engaged with policymakers and experts, producing scenarios for potential global governance challenges and ways to address them by 2030.

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