The use of high-frequency indicators in short-term forecasting models: The case of Latin American and Caribbean countries

This report examines the use of high-frequency indicators in forecasting short-term economic growth in Latin American and Caribbean countries, highlighting the benefits and challenges of this approach.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher:
Authors: Sandra Manuelito
Geographic focus: Latin America And The Caribbean
Page count: 28

Methods

The research utilized a nowcasting methodology, applying dynamic factor models that incorporate high-frequency data to forecast quarterly GDP growth rates. This approach allows for the inclusion of various indicators with different release schedules and addresses issues like missing data and mixed frequencies.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report explores the application of nowcasting methodology to generate accurate quarterly GDP growth forecasts in Latin America and the Caribbean. It discusses the advantages of using high-frequency data, the empirical models employed, and the challenges faced due to data availability and quality.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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