Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990–2020: Global Burden of Disease Study
The report projects future mortality and disability trends, highlighting the impact of aging populations, declining communicable diseases, rising non-communicable diseases, and tobacco use.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
The Lancet |
| Authors: | Alan D Lopez, Christopher J L Murray |
| Time horizon: | 2020 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The study used regression equations based on historical data from 1950-1990, considering GDP per person, education, time, and smoking intensity. Projections were made for mortality rates and years lived with disability (YLDs), using World Bank population projections.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The Global Burden of Disease Study presents three scenarios for future mortality and disability trends, considering socioeconomic factors, education, technology, and smoking. It predicts increased life expectancy, especially for women, a decline in deaths from communicable diseases, and a rise in non-communicable diseases and tobacco-related mortality by 2020.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2020 time horizon | 2020s time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | communicable diseases | disability | disease | education | health | infectious diseases | injuries | mortality | non-communicable diseases | scenarios | smoking | socioeconomic factors | technology | tobacco-related mortality