Development without energy? Assessing future scenarios of energy consumption in developing countries

This report examines the relationship between economic development and energy consumption in developing countries, particularly in the context of climate change mitigation. It questions whether reductions in energy consumption, as projected by integrated assessment models (IAMs), can be achieved without compromising sustainable development goals like universal energy access.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher:

Potsdam Institute Of Climate Impact Research

Authors: Gunnar Luderer, Jessica Strefler, Michael Jakob, Robert J. Brecha, Jan Christoph Steckel
Geographic focus: Global

Methods

The study employs a comparative analysis of historical energy consumption data and projections from IAMs. It uses econometric analysis to estimate the energy requirements for infrastructure development, focusing on steel and cement production. The research also incorporates scenario analysis to assess future energy demand under different climate policy frameworks.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The research compares historical patterns of energy use with future energy supply scenarios from IAMs, highlighting the importance of energy for development and infrastructure. It suggests that significant reductions in energy consumption, as required for climate mitigation, may not be feasible without affecting development. The study emphasizes the need for energy to build infrastructure, such as steel and cement, and doubts that IAMs adequately consider the role of energy in development processes.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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Last modified: 2024/05/23 20:47 by elizabethherfel