Future Ecosystem Services in a Southern African River Basin: a Scenario Planning Approach to Uncertainty
The report explores the use of scenario planning to address ecological uncertainty in conservation, focusing on future ecosystem services in a Southern African river basin.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Quick Facts | |
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Report location: | source |
Language: | English |
Authors: | Albert S. Van Jaarsveld, Belinda Reyers, E.l. Bohensky, B. Reyers, A.s. Van Jaarsveld, Erin L. Bohensky |
Time horizon: | 2000 |
Geographic focus: | Southern Africa, Gariep River Basin |
Methods
The research method involved scenario planning as part of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment's subglobal components. Four possible futures were explored for a Southern African river basin, considering the strength of national governance and civil society. The scenarios were developed through workshops with a user advisory group and refined with further analysis.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
Scenario planning is used to examine future ecosystem services in a Southern African river basin, revealing trade-offs and the importance of multi-scale design. The study, part of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, develops four scenarios based on governance and civil society strength, highlighting the potential of scenario planning in conservation and decision-making.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2000 time horizon | 2000s time horizon | English publication language | Gariep River Basin geographic scope | Southern Africa geographic scope | agriculture | biodiversity | civil society | climate change | conservation | conservation decision making | ecological processes | ecosystem services | governance | millennium ecosystem assessment | possible futures | scenario planning | social processes | trade-offs | water | water management