Future Scenarios and Future Threats: What Happens if Piracy is not Controlled, and How Might Manifestations Change?

This report examines the persistence and potential spread of piracy due to political, economic, and technological factors.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method involved analyzing historical and contemporary trends in piracy, examining case studies, and evaluating the impact of various factors on the prevalence and evolution of piracy.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The report analyzes the dynamics of piracy, identifying state failure, economic shifts, weak maritime security, and technological proliferation as key drivers. It argues that piracy thrives on political, legal, and geographical seams and will likely continue without effective intervention. The study outlines seven factors that enable piracy, including inadequate security, legal loopholes, and rewarding opportunities. It also discusses three traditional operational dynamics—mobility, lack of political will, and sanctuary—and three modern dynamics—judicial constraints, lack of ship self-protection, and technological proliferation. The report suggests that piracy could spread to new areas, particularly in Africa, if state control weakens and economic targets become more accessible. It concludes that piracy will persist unless land-based issues are addressed and regional maritime security is strengthened.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: Africa geographic scope | English publication language | Global geographic scope | Southeast Asia geographic scope | crime | disorder | dynamics | economic geography | geography | judicial constraints | legal loopholes | maritime security | maritime traditions | payoffs | piracy | political will | politics | risks | sanctuary | security | ship self-protection | state failure | technological proliferation