How do climate change and bioenergy alter the long-term outlook for food, agriculture and resource availability?
This paper presents an integrated global assessment of the inter-linkages of emerging biofuels developments, food security, and climate change, quantifying how climate change and biofuel production may alter the long-term outlook for food, agriculture, and resource availability.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | |
| Authors: | Günther Fischer |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The methodology combines the FAO/IIASA Agro-ecological Zone model to assess land resources and crop production potentials with the IIASA world food system model, which analyzes national and international agricultural economic dynamics. The approach accounts for climate scenarios, demographic and socio-economic drivers, and production, consumption, and trade dynamics.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The research employs the FAO/IIASA Agro-ecological Zone model and the IIASA world food system model to analyze the impacts of climate change and biofuel expansion on agricultural prices, production, consumption, risk of hunger, and land use up to 2050. It considers full agronomic adaptation, CO2 fertilization effects, and the deployment of second-generation biofuels. The study finds that climate change has modest global impacts on the food system by 2050, but significant regional disparities exist. Expanding biofuel production using first-generation feedstocks significantly impacts the food system, particularly up to 2030. The combined effects of climate change and biofuel expansion are likely to increase agricultural prices and alter land use significantly.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | agricultural policies | agriculture | agro-ecological zones | bioenergy | biofuel expansion | climate change | co2 fertilization | crop production | economic impact | food consumption | food security | food secutity | hunger risk | land use | resource availability | second-generation biofuels | socio-economic drivers | trade dynamics