Given enough perspectives, all futures are clear. https://openforesighthub.org/ 2026-04-12T07:25:36+00:00 https://openforesighthub.org/ https://openforesighthub.org/lib/exe/fetch.php?media=wiki:dokuwiki.svg text/html 2023-08-03T14:57:26+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:ai_and_automation_expanding&rev=1691074646&do=diff AI & Automation Expanding AI and automation are not only expanding but accelerating. The developments are perceived as picking up the pace, but those with a historical perspective would note that it has been a long and slow journey. The reports may neglect history a bit, but they are noting that major breakthroughs are happening or poised to happen. Supporters are excited about the possibilities of a technology-driven utopia. Others are trying to raise the social and ethical concerns resulting … text/html 2023-06-05T15:07:33+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:cities_smartening_up&rev=1685977653&do=diff Cities smartening up Summary Cities are looking to digital technology to revolutionize the way we live. In order to make the most of limited space in rapidly urbanizing areas, cities are experimenting with smart city approaches like digital twins, modular design, and robotics. These approaches embrace a sustainable and citizen-centric philosophy, promising a higher quality-of-life for all residents. Maximizing the built environment through technological innovation could also further cities’ po… text/html 2023-07-31T16:11:20+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:climate_change_impacts&rev=1690819880&do=diff Climate change impacts Summary Climate change is no longer a distant future concern. We are seeing warming, extreme weather events, and declining resource availability in the present. There are increasing impacts to water availability, food security, electricity, public health, and safety. These impacts disproportionately harm impoverished and marginalized communities, and the developing world. Worsening climate change and extreme weather events could cause disruption, damage, and failure of … text/html 2023-08-06T03:04:48+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:conflict_going_unconventonal&rev=1691291088&do=diff Conflict Going Unconventional More lower-level conflict perhaps captures less notice than big high-profile conflict – the current Russia-Ukraine conflict being a case in point. Yet that lower-level conflict is increasing, and the reports captured it. Conflict is perhaps more of an outcome of other drivers in the sense that failures or shortcomings in governance, social relations, economics, resources, and the environment create conditions conducive to conflict. The inclusion of cybersecurity is… text/html 2023-08-06T19:54:09+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:consumer_expectations&rev=1691351649&do=diff Consumer Expectations Consumer expectations are expanding beyond convenience to personalization and luxury as their level of affluence grows. Summary The Consumer expectations framing suggests a developmental pattern from convenience to personalization and luxury. In the more affluent nations, convenience is firmly entrenched as an expectation, and the focus is moving to personalization and luxury. Less affluent nations are often still struggling to achieve convenience. text/html 2023-08-07T04:30:08+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:data_proliferation&rev=1691382608&do=diff Data Proliferation Data proliferation is a direct production of digitization and the accompanying hardware and software that is easing its spread. There is fairly little questioning of the value of the data, other than as it relates to privacy. This concern is prominent, but it relates to the use of the data. It does not address the question of whether gathering and using all this data is actually leading to better decision-making – it is assumed to be true. text/html 2023-06-28T13:43:32+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:defining_driver&rev=1687959812&do=diff Defining Driver Introduction For the Global Drivers 2030-2060 project, it became apparent that there is no clear definition for a driver nor is there a standard naming convention. As such, futurist Andy Hines set out to describe the challenges and propose a set of guidelines. text/html 2023-08-11T16:04:56+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:digitization&rev=1691769896&do=diff Digitization Digitalization continues to expand and is increasingly ubiquitous. Digital technologies are merging digital and physical infrastructure, as well as “the real world” with digital worlds. As more devices are connected to the internet via Internet of Things and digital twin technology, creating and storing large quantities of data, energy demand will increase. Renewable energy and robust power grids will be necessary to meet demand sustainably. text/html 2023-08-03T14:21:12+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:economic_growth_a_priority&rev=1691072472&do=diff Economic growth a priority Summary Economic growth continues to be a priority and is often taken as a given, although questions are being raised due to its impact on the environment and resources. In order to sustain continued growth, governments and businesses are willing to take on more risk to drive up performance and value. However, high risk tolerance may leave economies vulnerable to unforeseen events. text/html 2023-06-28T16:04:15+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:education_access_expanding&rev=1687968255&do=diff Education access expanding Summary Education access is expanding throughout the world. As literacy rates and internet access improve, people have greater access to information and educational resources. Education drives global competition by improving social mobility, creating jobs, and fostering innovation. Therefore, many countries are prioritizing education as a component of their long term economic strategy. Education also promotes gender equality and citizen political awareness, improvin… text/html 2023-06-07T16:10:42+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:electrification&rev=1686154242&do=diff Electrification Summary Electrification is experiencing faster-than-expected growth, driven by improving technologies and reduced adoption barriers. Environmental concerns and customer preferences for low-carbon solutions are also driving the shift towards electricity-dominated energy markets. However, achieving electrification goals requires major infrastructural changes and the implementation of storage solutions like batteries. Success will be enhanced as society becomes more urbanized and … text/html 2023-08-03T23:55:17+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:energy_increasingly_available&rev=1691106917&do=diff Energy Increasingly Renewable Summary The growing interest and action in renewable energy appears to have finally gotten over the advance-and-retreat pattern that has characterized if the last several decades. In short, fossil fuel prices go up > R&D in renewables goes up as a result > fossil fuel prices go back down > R&D funding for renewables is cut. Climate concerns appear to have overcome this cycle and the advances in the technology and reductions in its cost make it increasingly compell… text/html 2023-06-10T19:19:52+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:environmental_actions_growing&rev=1686424792&do=diff Environmental Actions Growing Summary In order to effectively address climate and sustainability goals, it is crucial to consider the design of technology, packaging, and legislation in the coming years. When outlining and pursuing environmental goals, the behaviors and relationships between communities and nations influence the success of any party in achieving their objectives. These relationships can either accelerate the need for climate-driven transitions, independence, and resiliency or … text/html 2023-06-12T19:11:43+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:food_security_concerns&rev=1686597103&do=diff Food security concerns Summary As populations grow and emerging economies develop, there is concern that food production will not be able to keep up with growing demand. Demand for animal protein is especially problematic, due to the high land usage animal agriculture requires. Environmental degradation and climate change could exacerbate production issues. Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, greenhouse gas emissions, soil degradation, deforestation, and water stress could limit food … text/html 2023-06-12T18:14:21+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:geopolitical_instability&rev=1686593661&do=diff Geopolitical instability Summary Geopolitical instability is increasing as a multi-polar world attempts to take shape. Tensions between the US and China are growing. China is building power on the global stage while the US experiences a relative decline. There is increasing anxiety that US-China tensions will escalate into outright conflict. In the absence of a clear leader, other nations are hedging their bets and seeking greater autonomy. Countries around the world are struggling with politi… text/html 2023-06-28T13:37:06+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:global_drivers_2030_2060_project_overview&rev=1687959426&do=diff Global Drivers 2030-2060 Overview Objective The Global Drivers 2030-2060 identifies and analyzes the major drivers projected to influence change in the 2030-2060 timeframe. The focal question of this project was: What are the drivers that emerge from publicly available analysis regarding the 2030-2060 horizon? text/html 2023-06-28T14:29:58+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:global_drivers_2030_2060&rev=1687962598&do=diff Global Drivers 2030-2060 Overview The Global Drivers of the 2030-2060 time horizon were identified as part of a project by futurists from SAP and the University of Houston. The project conducted a meta-study examining 677 candidate drivers from publicly available foresight reports from around the world. Please read the text/html 2023-08-04T00:04:18+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:globalization_questions&rev=1691107458&do=diff Globalization Questions The long-term movement toward greater globalization is being questioned. This is a significant development. Interestingly, globalization and a focus on economic growth have typically been viewed as going hand-in-hand. The reports, however, questioned globalization, but continued to focus on economic growth, although arguably the emphasis is lesser than it has been in the past. The focus on growth has been taken for granted until fairly recently, due to its impact on the … text/html 2023-06-11T16:09:40+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:governance_under_pressure&rev=1686499780&do=diff Governance Under Pressure Summary Escalating geopolitical instability amidst the formation of a multipolar world, coupled with the potential absence of a discernible global leader, instills heightened apprehension. Nations grapple with hesitancy to align with any one power, opting instead for a cautious stance and the pursuit of greater autonomy. Consequently, this paradigm shift contributes to the emergence of a multipolar world order, contrasting the previously established bipolar framework. text/html 2023-06-07T16:12:20+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:healthcare_equity_struggles&rev=1686154340&do=diff Healthcare Equity Struggles Summary The evolving understanding of healthcare encompasses mental, behavioral, and social determinants of health, leading to a greater focus on healthcare inequity. Urbanization, migration, and climate change are straining healthcare systems, while aging populations benefit from health technology but also contribute to system strain. Effective implementation of health technology requires intentional, long-term planning. Existing systemic issues hinder the effectiv… text/html 2023-06-25T11:50:04+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:index&rev=1687693804&do=diff Futures Index This page is an index of all pages in the Futures section of Open Foresight Hub. Futures contains crowd-sourced summaries of different futures and the myriad of forces shaping them; these futures are dynamically evolving, both synthesizing the diversity of existing perspectives and seeking additional perspectives. text/html 2023-06-07T20:44:57+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:inequality&rev=1686170697&do=diff Inequality Summary Inequality is deeply ingrained in society, impacting various aspects of life. It is often overlooked or ignored, but its effects can lead to unrest and dysfunction. Research has not always explicitly addressed equality or equity, potentially due to the timing or industry focus. However, inequality permeates all spheres. text/html 2023-08-06T19:51:42+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:migration_continues&rev=1691351502&do=diff Migration Continues Summary A broad generalization about the reasons for migration is a shift from seeking opportunity to avoiding disaster. The older paradigm is a numbers game of too many people in the same spot limiting economic opportunity. The emerging one is increasingly being driven by fleeing disaster, whether from conflict or climate change. Fleeing conflict is not new, although nature of conflict is morphing, but the emergence of the climate change threat is new. text/html 2023-06-07T16:13:03+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:population_growth_slowing&rev=1686154383&do=diff Population Growth Slowing Summary Across the world, populations are aging, marking a significant shift from previous concerns about overpopulation. While managing population growth more successfully than anticipated, we now face the challenge of addressing the implications of aging populations. The demographic story has transitioned from focusing on quantity to quality. The aging population profile puts pressure on economic and healthcare systems, necessitating a thoughtful approach to how we … text/html 2023-06-26T00:13:27+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:ppepsiii&rev=1687738407&do=diff PPEPSIII Framework The PPEPSIII framework facilitates a deeper understanding of drivers shaping the 2030-2060 time horizon. In general, frameworks such as STEEP and PESTLE are a helpful way for foresight practitioners to ensure a comprehensive and balanced set of drivers and themes are considered in a research project. The PPEPSIII framework can help surface key tensions that exist among drivers and stakeholder agendas. text/html 2023-06-07T20:40:52+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:resource_insecurities&rev=1686170452&do=diff Resource insecurities Summary Resource insecurity is a pressing global concern that encompasses the delicate balance between sustainability, economic growth, and meeting present and future needs. The challenges associated with resource insecurity are compounded by factors such as migration and urbanization. Rapid influxes of people into under-equipped areas increase localized resource security concerns, while urbanization and inadequate infrastructure further amplify these problems. Additional… text/html 2023-08-03T15:13:18+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:skill_gaps&rev=1691075598&do=diff Skill Gaps Skill and talent gaps are generally increasing. The skill gaps go beyond HR issues, as it connects with both the Technology Acceleration and the Automation and AI drivers. It also connects with Inequality driver. There is concern about a growing in which the skills gap becomes increasingly insurmountable. The continued reliance on technology and virtual work threatens to leave many people behind. The desirability of the technological march is perhaps not adequately questioned, i.e., … text/html 2023-06-08T22:11:36+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:social_media_and_fragmentation&rev=1686262296&do=diff Social Media and Fragmentation Summary Fragmentation in society increases vulnerability to manipulation, misinformation, and propaganda, particularly through the rapid amplification of information on social media. While social media has been used for positive change by socially conscious consumers and consumer activists, it has also exposed illegal and morally ambiguous behaviors, leading to reputation risks for individuals and organizations. The speed and impact of these risks have prompted a… text/html 2023-06-25T12:31:39+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:start&rev=1687696299&do=diff Futures Global drivers 2030-2060 For a full list of pages in the Futures section, see the Futures index. Contribute to the Futures collaboration section... Read the user guide to learn how to join discussions, edit pages, create new articles, and generally use the site. We'd love for you to share your knowledge and expertise with new articles. Here are some ideas to help get you started: text/html 2023-06-20T15:13:46+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:technology_acceleration&rev=1687274026&do=diff Technology acceleration Summary Technology’s accelerating capabilities are influencing all aspects of life. For the most part, this is viewed as a positive and practically inevitable development. Technological development is seen as the key to economic, social, and environmental growth that will unlock a higher quality of life for all. The rapid rate of technological change is thought to bring large scale disruption. Reports encourage businesses and governments to take risks and adopt early wh… text/html 2023-08-11T14:51:45+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:transportation_automating_and_integrating&rev=1691765505&do=diff Transportation Automating and Integrating Transportation systems are become more automated and integrated, particularly on the commercial side. Shipping is being asked to deliver more and more frequently and is using technology to meet the challenge. Progress is more spotty at the personal level, as electrification of vehicles and the move to ridesharing have been slow. In many jurisdictions high speed trains are increasingly, but progress is spotty here as well. text/html 2023-06-07T16:14:19+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:urbanization&rev=1686154459&do=diff Urbanization Summary Urbanization continues to grow throughout the world, and projections indicate that growing majority of earth’s population will live in cities. Most of the growth is expected to take place in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Urbanization can offer higher quality of life for residents, and become hubs for culture, sustainability, innovation, and economic growth. However, improperly managed urbanization can exacerbate infrastructure issues, inequality, and poverty. In order t… text/html 2023-06-08T03:29:55+00:00 Anonymous (anonymous@undisclosed.example.com) https://openforesighthub.org/doku.php?id=futures:work_going_virtual&rev=1686194995&do=diff Work Going Virtual Summary Virtual employment has been steadily growing, but the pandemic accelerated this trend, placing significant pressure on crucial social and economic aspects of our societies. As virtual and remote work opportunities continue to increase, we must redefine our understanding of employment and adapt employment relationships. People now have more flexibility to seek ideal working conditions, while employers have the option to outsource work to digital freelancers. These evo…