Scenarios for the Russian Federation

This report explores potential scenarios for Russia's future economic development, considering the interplay of global energy trends, domestic institutional quality, and social cohesion.

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: World Economic Forum
Time horizon: 2030
Geographic focus: russia
Page count: 50

Methods

The research method involved engaging over 350 experts and decision-makers in strategic dialogues, workshops, and surveys to explore global, regional, and domestic developments affecting Russia's economy.

Key Insights

The report examines Russia's economic prospects amid global shifts and domestic vulnerabilities, focusing on energy reliance, institutional reforms, and social dynamics. It involves over 350 experts in a strategic dialogue to assess Russia's economic pathways and policy options, considering global energy landscapes, institutional environments, and social cohesion. The scenarios presented are not forecasts but tools to stimulate strategic thinking on Russia's economic future, exploring opportunities and challenges for policy and strategy development. The scenarios include “Regional Rebalancing,” with regional reforms and agricultural growth; “Precarious Stability,” with economic crisis and state intervention; and “Beyond Complacency,” with high energy prices leading to institutional reforms driven by elite discontent.

Drivers mentioned include:

Additional Viewpoints

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