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--- futures:consumer_expectations [2023/07/31 07:08] – richarderwin
+++ futures:consumer_expectations [2023/08/06 21:54] (current) – richarderwin
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 =====In Futures Research=====
-====Digital Ubiquity====
+====Asia is Rising====
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. As consumers rise up the income ladder, spending on special treats and first luxury products will take off. Consumers will be willing to pay a premium for convenience, well-being and personalization. However, with 62% of high-income consumers still rating price as one of their top purchasing criteria, consumers will also remain value-conscious.
+[[library:human_progress_and_human_services_2035_a_scenario_exploration|Economy Cluster Findings – The Future of Asia: Implications for Canada]] by [[encyclopedia:policy_horizons_canada|Policy Horizons Canada]] states that by 2030, Asia will house three of the world’s four largest economies. Asia will also have more consumers than the rest of the world combined. Asian businesses may determine the shape of global economics – drive innovations and set standards – with different rules and conventions than the West.
-====Favorable Demographics====
+====Rise of ASEAN as a Global Consuming Patterns Influencer====
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. A young, tech-savvy population, entering the workforce and migrating to big and small cities, will spur consumption in Indonesia, Viet Nam and the Philippines.
+The [[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]] states that ASEAN is the world’s third most populous economy and over the next decade is expected to become the world’s fourth largest. Domestic consumption, which powers roughly 60% of gross domestic product (GDP) today, is estimated to double to $4 trillion.
-====Blurring of Shopping Boundaries====
+As consumers rise up the income ladder, spending on special treats and luxury products will take off. Consumers will be willing to pay a premium for convenience, well-being and personalization. However, with 62% of high-income consumers still rating price as one of their top purchasing criteria, consumers will also remain value conscious.
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. Millennials and Gen Z will account for 75% of ASEAN consumers, spending seven to eight hours on the internet each day across devices, with four to five hours on social media. The unprecedented abundance of information and choice will boost repertoire behavior – 65% would switch brands if their favorites were not available – enabling growth of insurgent brands, which are able to innovate more rapidly.
+Millennials and Gen Z will account for 75% of ASEAN consumers, spending seven to eight hours on the internet each day across devices, with four to five hours on social media. The unprecedented abundance of information and choice will boost repertoire behavior – 65% would switch brands if their favorites were not available – enabling growth of insurgent brands, which are able to innovate more rapidly.  Such consumers value convenience over privacy and are willing to share their data across many applications. Voice and experience-based (AR and VR) influence, search and buying will grow to provide additional convenience to consumers.
+Omni-channel retailing will prevail across ASEAN in 2030. While e-commerce will grow the fastest, reaching 13% penetration from 3% today, offline channels will remain large and relevant. Consumers will switch between online and offline throughout their consumption journey. As a result, social media, e-commerce, everyday apps and offline channels will converge into an integrated platform.
 ====Behavior Patterns====
-[[library:reimagining_the_future_of_transport_across_asia_and_the_pacific|Reimagining the future of transport across Asia and the pacific]] by [[encyclopedia:arup|ARUP]]. Disposable incomes are projected to continue to grow significantly in Asia and the Pacific and impact consumption and travel patterns. Across all countries, the rapidly advancing digital economy and growth in e-commerce will offer access to new markets, coupled with growing consumer demand for convenience and efficiency. The region’s share of travel and tourism is also set to increase in coming decades. Healthy and sustainable lifestyles are increasingly appealing to consumers, particularly in upper and middle-income countries in Asia.
+[[library:reimagining_the_future_of_transport_across_asia_and_the_pacific|Reimagining the future of transport across Asia and the pacific]] by [[encyclopedia:arup|ARUP]] states that disposable incomes are projected to continue to grow significantly in Asia and the Pacific and impact consumption and travel patterns. Across all countries, the rapidly advancing digital economy and growth in e-commerce will offer access to new markets, coupled with growing consumer demand for convenience and efficiency. The region’s share of travel and tourism is also set to increase in coming decades. Healthy and sustainable lifestyles are increasingly appealing to consumers, particularly in upper and middle-income countries in Asia.
+====Desire for In-Person Experience====
+[[library:the_futureready_university|The Future-Ready University]] by [[encyclopedia:arup|ARUP]], however, states that a desire exists for specific in-person interactions and experiences, some that are only available for a short period in one's life - like attending University. The classic and long thought about experience falls short if not in person.
-====Convenience will be the New Currency====
+====Human Services Value Curve====
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. ASEAN consumers value convenience over privacy and are willing to share their data across many applications. Voice and experience-based (AR and VR) influence, search and buying will grow to provide additional convenience to consumers.
+[[library:human_progress_and_human_services_2035_a_scenario_exploration|Human Progress and Human Services 2035: A Scenario Exploration]] by the [[encyclopedia:institute_for_alternative_futures|Institute for Alternative Futures]] explores how to potentially break down providing goods and services to consumers as a series of concurrent levels. At the regulative level, consumers receive a specific product or service that is timely, accurate, efficient and easy to understand. At the collaborative level, consumers “walk through a single door” and have access to a complete array of products and services that are available “on the shelf.” At the integrative level, products and services are combined into packages, and designed and customized with input from the consumer themselves, delivered in the most convenient ways, with the objective of best meeting the consumer’s true needs and driving positive outcomes. At the generative level, those providing products and services are joining forces to make the consumer’s overall environment better for them, resulting in value that is broader and more systemic than an individual or family might receive.
-====Shoppers' Expectations for Retail Omnipresence====
+====Abundance Advances====
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_asean|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. Omni-channel retailing will prevail across ASEAN in 2030. While e-commerce will grow the fastest, reaching 13% penetration from 3% today, offline channels will remain large and relevant. Consumers will switch between online and offline throughout their consumption journey. As a result, social media, e-commerce, everyday apps and offline channels will converge into an integrated platform.
+[[library:human_progress_and_human_services_2035_a_scenario_exploration|Human Progress and Human Services 2035: A Scenario Exploration]] by the [[encyclopedia:institute_for_alternative_futures|Institute for Alternative Futures]] states that technological advancements that could become widely used in the 2020s could lower the cost of living and can support equity and sustainability along with increasing self-sufficiency and helping families and communities meet some of their basic needs. These include technologies for low-cost energy and storage, food production, and 3D printing of home goods, electronics, and even homes.
-====Pace of Bridging the Regional and Urban-Rural Growth Divide====
+====New Business Models and Technologies====
-[[library:future_of_consumption_in_fastgrowth_consumer_markets_india|Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: ASEAN]] by the [[encyclopedia:world_economic_forum|World Economic Forum]]. The pace of job creation and the ability to drive growth across various parts of India will directly impact the expected GDP growth rate, resulting in two alternative scenarios (Figure 9). Importantly, the size of the critical “upper-middle” income class will differ by 100 million people between the low and high cases, which is substantial in terms of scale. The subsequent section of the report elaborates on the societal challenges associated with these uncertainties that will need to be addressed to realize the most positive future scenarios for India as envisioned by its businesses, policymakers and civic society stakeholders today.
+[[library:chaos_or_connection_the_global_media_and_information_landscape_in_2035|Chaos or Connection? The Global Media and Information Landscape in 2035]] by [[encyclopedia:global_governance_futures|Global Governence Futures]] states that new business models for value sharing between readers and content producers propel people in new ways to reject and move away from the ad-driven profit structures that we see today. Further advancements in technology, such as block chain and federated learning, allow for the emergence of decentralized and community-driven platforms. Decreasing computing costs drive global access to information and facilitate the emergence of open-source and community-owned communication platforms.
-====Global Trends and the Future of Latin America====
-[[library:global_trends_and_the_future_of_latin_america|Global trends and
-the future of Latin America]] by the [[encyclopedia:inter_american_dialogue|Inter-American Dialogue]]. The World Bank forecasts a global expansion of the middle class, with 80% of that growth taking place in Asia. This would cause a huge change in the distribution of the world's consumption and investment. The middle class' political behavior is also a major factor in governance.
 =====Additional Viewpoints=====