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futures:global_drivers_2030_2060_project_overview [2023/06/28 13:06] – davidpjonker | futures:global_drivers_2030_2060_project_overview [2023/06/28 15:37] (current) – added links elizabethherfel | ||
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| **Driver** | **# of mentions** | **Description** | **PPEPSIII category** | | | **Driver** | **# of mentions** | **Description** | **PPEPSIII category** | | ||
- | | 1. Technology acceleration | 44 | Technology' | + | | 1. [[futures: |
- | | 2. Environmental actions growing | 30 | Green strategies and approaches are increasingly being applied across all sectors | Planet | | + | | 2. [[futures: |
- | | 3. Population growth slowing (formerly " | + | | 3. [[futures: |
- | | 4. Climate change impacts | 29 | Climate change impacts are increasing, as is the urgency for responding | + | | 4. [[futures: |
- | | 5. Conflict going unconventional (includes cybersecurity) | 27 | Conflict is shifting to non-state actors and unconventional means, including cyberwar | Political | | + | | 5. [[futures: |
- | | 6. Digitization | 26 | Digitization continues to expand and is increasingly ubiquitous | + | | 6. [[futures: |
- | | 7. Energy increasingly renewable | 23 | Renewable energy use is growing due largely to climate concerns | + | | 7. [[futures: |
- | | 8. Governance under pressure | 22 | Governance structures are facing growing pressure to evolve to align with an increasingly complex world | Political | | + | | 8. [[futures: |
- | | 9. Resource insecurities | 20 | Resource insecurities are proliferating across types and geographies | Planet | | + | | 9. [[futures: |
- | | 10. Globalization questions | 17 | Globalization and interconnectedness are continuing despite questions about its desirability | Economic | | + | | 10. [[futures: |
- | | 11. Healthcare equity struggles | 17 | Healthcare systems are often struggling to provide equitable access to amazing medical advances | Social | | + | | 11. [[futures: |
- | | 12. Education access expanding | 16 | Educational access is generally expanding and incorporating technological approaches. | Social | | + | | 12. [[futures: |
- | | 13. Urbanization | 15 | Urbanization continues to grow, widening the urban-rural gap | People | | + | | 13. [[futures: |
- | | 14. AI & Automation expanding | 14 | AI, automation, and robotics applications are expanding | Innovation | | + | | 14. [[futures: |
- | | 15. Geopolitical instability | 13 | Geopolitical instability is increasing as a multi-polar world attempts to take shape | Political | | + | | 15. [[futures: |
- | | 16. Consumer expectations | 12 | Consumer expectations are expanding beyond convenience to personalization and luxury as their level of affluence grows | Social | | + | | 16. [[futures: |
- | | 17. Cities smartening up | 11 | Cities are becoming smarter and more important contributors to economic growth | Infrastructure | | + | | 17. [[futures: |
- | | 18. Social media and fragmentation | 11 | Social media increasing viewed as contributing to social fragmentation | Social | | + | | 18. [[futures: |
- | | 19. Data proliferation | 8 | Data is increasingly available and used in decision-making, | + | | 19. [[futures: |
- | | 20. Transportation automating and integrating | 8 | Transportation is slowing becoming more automated and integrated | Infrastructure | | + | | 20. [[futures: |
- | | 21. Economic growth a priority | 7 | Economic growth continues to be a priority | Economic | | + | | 21. [[futures: |
- | | 22. Food security concerns | 7 | Food security concerns are growing as arable land is shrinking | Social | | + | | 22. [[futures: |
- | | 23. Migration continues | 7 | Migration is increasing, driven by climate change and conflict. | People | | + | | 23. [[futures: |
- | | 24. Electrification | 6 | Electrification of power supply and transportation is increasing | Infrastructure | | + | | 24. [[futures: |
- | | 25. Inequality | 6 | Inequality continues to grow | Economic | | + | | 25. [[futures: |
- | | 26. Skill gaps | 6 | Skill and talent gaps are generally increasing | Economic | | + | | 26. [[futures: |
- | | 27. Work going virtual | 5 | Work is shifting to virtual, which is enabling new structures and approaches | Innovation | | + | | 27. [[futures: |
Table 1: List of 27 Global Drivers | Table 1: List of 27 Global Drivers | ||
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{{ global_drivers_2030_2060_by_ppepsiii.png? | {{ global_drivers_2030_2060_by_ppepsiii.png? | ||
- | | + | Figure 1: Global drivers by PPEPSIII category |
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By being super inclusive – which makes sense given the open foresight nature of the project - perhaps half the 677 candidate drivers were, upon further analysis, not really drivers, but we carried them through the total process, which absorbed a lot of the team’s time and energy. If we screened them out early, this would have saved a lot of time later on. On the other hand, even though the process might have been inefficient, | By being super inclusive – which makes sense given the open foresight nature of the project - perhaps half the 677 candidate drivers were, upon further analysis, not really drivers, but we carried them through the total process, which absorbed a lot of the team’s time and energy. If we screened them out early, this would have saved a lot of time later on. On the other hand, even though the process might have been inefficient, | ||
+ | <span # | ||
~~DISCUSSION~~ | ~~DISCUSSION~~ | ||
Last modified: 2023/06/28 13:06 by davidpjonker