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futures:population_growth_slowing [2023/06/06 18:23] sarah.wheelerfutures:population_growth_slowing [2023/06/07 18:13] (current) sarah.wheeler
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 ====Driving forces cards 2035==== ====Driving forces cards 2035====
-[[library:driving_forces_2035_cards|Driving Forces 2035 Cards]] [[library:driving_forces_cards_2035|Driving Forces Cards 2035]] by [[encyclopedia:singapore_government_centre_for_strategic_futures|Singapore Government Centre for Strategic Futures]]+[[library:driving_forces_cards_2035|Driving Forces 2035 Cards]] by [[encyclopedia:singapore_government_centre_for_strategic_futures|Singapore Government Centre for Strategic Futures]] provides a series of concise and informative cards that highlight key concepts and insights. These cards cover various topics such as strategic foresight, emerging technologies, global trends, and security challenges. Aging populations are a theme throughout.
  
 ====Future of Government in 2030==== ====Future of Government in 2030====
-[[library:future_of_government_in_2030|Future of Government in 2030]] by [[encyclopedia:erepublic|e.Republic]]+[[library:future_of_government_in_2030|Future of Government in 2030]] by [[encyclopedia:erepublic|e.Republic]] is a series of short essays compiling the thoughts of over two dozen futurists. One of which sees governments facing the challenge of adapting to aging populations. This will involve reevaluating the mix of services provided, accommodating the needs of retirees, and addressing changes in tax bases as individuals relocate to areas with lower taxes and more favorable climates. Governments will need to find ways to deliver services efficiently while making difficult decisions about service reductions.
  
 ====GAO 2018-2023 Strategic Plan: Trends Affecting Government and Society==== ====GAO 2018-2023 Strategic Plan: Trends Affecting Government and Society====
-[[library:gao_20182023_strategic_plan_trends_affecting_government_and_society|GAO 2018-2023 Strategic Plan: Trends Affecting Government and Society]] by [[encyclopedia:us_government_accountability_office|US Government Accountability Office]]+[[library:gao_20182023_strategic_plan_trends_affecting_government_and_society|GAO 2018-2023 Strategic Plan: Trends Affecting Government and Society]] by [[encyclopedia:us_government_accountability_office|US Government Accountability Office]] is a study on the challenges faced by the federal government in managing and overseeing cybersecurity risks. A section of the report on "Changes in people and society" looks at current knowledge, key uncertainties, current positioning, and implications of aging populations.
  
 ====Future of Highways==== ====Future of Highways====
-[[library:future_of_highways|Future of Highways]] by [[encyclopedia:arup|ARUP]]+[[library:future_of_highways|Future of Highways]] by [[encyclopedia:arup|ARUP]] examines the future of mobility and transport infrastructure. It identifies 'A growing and aging population' as a megatrend with global implications for the future of highways. By 2050, the global population is projected to reach approximately 9.5 billion, with varying population trends across regions. Aging populations in countries like Russia, Japan, and Germany will lead to population decline, while explosive growth is expected in some parts of the developing world, particularly in cities. The shift towards an older population will impact mobility solutions, as older generations may have different needs and preferences. 
  
 ====Review of how science and technology could contribute to better energy management in the future: futures studies==== ====Review of how science and technology could contribute to better energy management in the future: futures studies====
-[[library:review_of_how_science_and_technology_could_contribute_to_better_energy_management_in_the_future_futures_studies|Review of how science and technology could contribute to better energy management in the future: futures studies]] by UK Government Office for Science+[[library:review_of_how_science_and_technology_could_contribute_to_better_energy_management_in_the_future_futures_studies|Review of how science and technology could contribute to better energy management in the future: futures studies]] by the UK Government Office for Science reviewed existing futures studies surrounding energy issues. The various studies found similarities in the social factors and trends that influence energy consumption. Population and lifestyles/values were identified as the primary drivers of energy usage. The studies discussed the expected population growth in developing regions and the anticipated decline in developed regions. Additionally, the impact of urbanization, demographics, and land use on energy consumption was examined across multiple studies.
  
 ====Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments==== ====Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments====
-[[library:future_state_2030_the_global_megatrends_shaping_governments|Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments]] by +[[library:future_state_2030_the_global_megatrends_shaping_governments|Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments]] by [[encyclopedia:kpmg_international|KPMG International]] and the Mowat Centre examines global megatrends likely to impact the public and private sectors through 2030, and delves into the megatrends' implications for governments. One of these megatrends is 'demographics'.
  
 ====Exploring Europe’s capability requirements for 2035 and beyond==== ====Exploring Europe’s capability requirements for 2035 and beyond====
-[[library:exploring_europes_capability_requirements_for_2035_and_beyond|Exploring europe's capability requirements for 2035 and beyond]] by [[encyclopedia:rand|RAND]]+[[library:exploring_europes_capability_requirements_for_2035_and_beyond|Exploring europe's capability requirements for 2035 and beyond]] by [[encyclopedia:rand|RAND]] for the European Defense Agency aims to address defense and military challenges in Europe over the long-term. It highlights social factors that could contribute to unrest and conflict, such as:  
 +  * "Increased age disparities, including an ageing global population but growth of youth populations and youth unemployment in certain regions." 
 +  * "Population decline in Europe, but slight growth in the rest of the world."
  
 ====Central Asia 2050: Unleashing the Region’s Potential==== ====Central Asia 2050: Unleashing the Region’s Potential====
-[[library:central_asia_2050_unleashing_the_regions_potential|Central Asia 2050: Unleashing the Region's Potential]] by [[encyclopedia:centennial_group_international|Centennial Group International]]+[[library:central_asia_2050_unleashing_the_regions_potential|Central Asia 2050: Unleashing the Region's Potential]] by [[encyclopedia:centennial_group_international|Centennial Group International]] highlights the potential and challenges faced by Central Asia, emphasizing the importance of the region's historical openness and trade connections. It presents an aspirational vision for 2050, envisioning widespread prosperity and improved social indicators comparable to South Korea and Central Europe. The book identifies key areas for development, including energy, agriculture, manufacturing, human development, climate change, market integration, and governance, with water resources management being a significant challenge. One of the drivers identified relates to demographic transitions.
  
  
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-=====Discussion=====+~~DISCUSSION~~
 =====Further Reading===== =====Further Reading=====
 +<span #categories_box> Categories:  </span>
 =====Citations===== =====Citations=====
 /* Do not add anything below this line, footnotes will automatically generate below */ /* Do not add anything below this line, footnotes will automatically generate below */
Last modified: 2023/06/06 18:23 by sarah.wheeler