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--- library:2030_the_perfect_storm_scenario [2023/06/14 18:49] – added a brief summary sarah.wheeler
+++ library:2030_the_perfect_storm_scenario [2024/03/12 03:14] (current) – davidpjonker
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 =====Methods=====
+The research method involved creating a scenario planning exercise, which is a strategic planning method that organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. This particular scenario, called the "perfect storm," is based on extrapolating current trends in population growth, resource consumption, climate change, and geopolitical dynamics to envision potential global challenges by the year 2030.\\
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+ (Generated with the help of GPT-4) \\
 =====Key Insights=====
+The report presents a scenario for the year 2030, termed the "perfect storm," characterized by significant global challenges due to converging trends. It predicts a world population increase to 8.3 billion, with a corresponding rise in demand for food, energy, and water. The scenario assumes that efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions will fall short, and climate change will continue to impact food production and water availability. Energy demands will grow, but supplies will struggle to keep up, leading to higher prices and increased competition for resources. The scenario also anticipates geopolitical instability, with failed states and international tensions over resource allocation. This is not a prediction but a tool to stimulate discussion and planning for potential future challenges.\\
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-<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2013_publication_year}} |  {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>biofuels}} |  {{tag>climate_change}} |  {{tag>global_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>human_aspirations}} |  {{tag>population_growth}} |  {{tag>scarce_resources}} |  {{tag>urbanisation}}   </span>
+<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2013_publication_year}} |  {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>Global_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>agricultural_productivity}} |  {{tag>climate_change}} |  {{tag>economic_growth}} |  {{tag>energy_demand}} |  {{tag>food_production}} |  {{tag>geopolitical_instability}} |  {{tag>greenhouse_gas_emissions}} |  {{tag>population_growth}} |  {{tag>resource_scarcity}} |  {{tag>water_stress}}   </span>
 ~~DISCUSSION~~