library:four_syrian_scenarios [Open Foresight Hub]

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======Four Syrian Scenarios======
As the fighting in Syria intensifies, there are four plausible outcomes, all with negative implications for regional stability and Western values.\\ 
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^  Quick Facts  ^^
| Report location:  |[[https://www.cato.org/commentary/four-syrian-scenarios| source]]  |
| Language:  | English   |
| Publisher:  |[[encyclopedia:cato_institute|CATO Institute]]  |
| Publication date:  |August 7, 2012  |
| Authors:  |Ted Galen Carpenter  |
| Geographic focus:  |Syria   |
| Page count:  |3  |

=====Methods=====
The research method used in the report is a qualitative analysis of the potential outcomes of the Syrian conflict based on the current situation and the involvement of various regional and international actors.\\ 
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=====Key Insights=====
The research discusses four possible outcomes of the Syrian conflict. The first is the Assad regime suppressing the rebellion, the second is the Free Syrian Army ousting Assad and transitioning to a democratic Syria, the third is the insurgents winning and establishing an authoritarian state, and the fourth is Syria fragmenting into religious and ethnic enclaves. The research emphasizes the negative implications of each scenario for regional stability and Western values.\\ 
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=====Additional Viewpoints=====
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<span #categories_box> Categories:  {{tag>2012_publication_year}} |  {{tag>English_publication_language}} |  {{tag>Syria_geographic_scope}} |  {{tag>authoritarianism}} |  {{tag>democratic_transition}} |  {{tag>regional_stability}} |  {{tag>scenarios}} |  {{tag>war}}   </span>  


~~DISCUSSION~~