2030: The Perfect Storm Scenario

The Perfect Storm scenario for 2030 envisions a future where global population continues to grow, leading to increased demand for food, energy, and water. Climate change poses challenges to food production and displaces people. The scenario assumes that global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change fall short. The key developments in this scenario include a 40% increase in food demand but inadequate supply, leading to grain shortages and the brink of starvation for millions. Energy demand grows by 45%, but scarcity drives prices to record highs. Global water demand increases by 30%, causing high water stress for nearly half the world's population. Greenhouse gas emissions rise, and climate change worsens, with rising temperatures, sea level rise, and extreme weather events. The scenario also highlights the impact of population growth, disease, and malnutrition, as well as the changing age distribution and employment challenges in developing countries.