Balkan futures – Three scenarios for 2025
This report presents three scenarios for the Western Balkans in 2025, exploring the potential outcomes of current trends and decisions. It examines the influence of EU integration, regional cooperation, security challenges, governance, economic transformation, and external actors on the future trajectory of the region.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | European Union Institute for Security Studies |
| Authors: | Donika Emini, Florence Gaub, Isidora Stakić, Zoran Nechev, Marko Čeperković |
| Page count: | 73 pages |
Methods
The research method involved workshops with EU officials, experts, civil society, government officials, diplomats, and journalists from the Balkans. The workshops aimed to diversify inputs and included close to two hundred individuals, resulting in a collaborative publication that presents the region's challenges and established projections.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report identifies six megatrends likely to persist until 2025: population decline, high unemployment and public debt, underperforming institutions, ethnocentrism and contested statehood, outdated educational systems, and globalisation trends. It also discusses six game-changers that could significantly impact the region's future, including EU accession, disruptive external actors, regional cooperation, security, governance, and economic transformation.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: time horizon 2025 | English publication language | bilateral disputes | economic transformation | eu accession | eu enlargement | european future | external actors | foreign affairs | governance | organised crime | radicalisation | regional cooperation | regions | rule of law | security | western balkans