Chain and silk: alternative futures of blockchain governance in Kyrgyzstan
This research explores the potential futures of blockchain governance in Kyrgyzstan, considering the country's fragile democracy and interest in democratic reforms. The study employs the Manoa School alternative futures modeling method, integrating social imaginaries derived from surveys and interviews to map potential governance and democracy futures in Kyrgyzstan. Four scenarios are presented: Growth, New Beginnings, Discipline, and Transform, each with different implications for the use of blockchain in governance. The research suggests that blockchain could either undermine or promote democratic governance, depending on how it is employed.
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| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | European Journal of Futures Research |
| Publication date: | April 5, 2022 |
| Authors: | Gregory J. Dunn, John A. Sweeney, Saikal Anvar kyzy |
| Geographic focus: | Kyrgyzstan, Central_asia, Kyrgyzstan |
| Page count: | 14 |
Methods
The research method employed in this study is the Manoa School alternative futures modeling method. This approach involves creating scenarios based on archetypal images of the future, considering seven driving forces: population, energy, economics, environment, culture, technology, and governance. The study also integrates social imaginaries derived from surveys and interviews to map potential futures for governance and democracy in Kyrgyzstan.
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Key Insights
The study examines blockchain's role in governance within Kyrgyzstan, a country with a tumultuous political history and a current fragile state of democracy. Utilizing the Manoa School alternative futures modeling method, the research incorporates social imaginaries to explore various scenarios of blockchain governance. The scenarios range from corporate-led technological growth to government-imposed blockchain solutions, with potential outcomes including enhanced democratic processes or increased authoritarian control. The research highlights the diverse possibilities for blockchain's impact on governance and suggests that its application could significantly shape Kyrgyzstan's political future.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2022 publication year | English publication language | Kyrgyzstan geographic scope | authoritarianism | blockchain | central asia | central asia geographic scope | democracy | economic challenges | governance | kyrgyzstan geographic scope | political instability | scenarios | technology