Changes in Nature's Balance Sheet
This report presents four scenarios predicting changes in global ecosystem services up to 2050–2100 using a suite of global models.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
resilience alliance |
| Authors: | Claudia Ringler, Detlef Van Vuuren, Jacqueline Alder, Kerstin Schulze, Toshihiko Masui, Wolfgang Cramer, Joseph Alcamo, Joseph Alcamo |
| Time horizon: | 2050 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The research utilized a set of soft-linked global models to evaluate the impact of human demography, economic growth, climate change, and biospheric processes on future ecosystem services. These models were fed with scenario drivers consistent with the storylines of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment scenarios. Outputs from one model served as inputs for others, allowing for an integrated assessment of changes in ecosystem services.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report uses global models to project changes in ecosystem services worldwide by 2050–2100, considering human demography, economic development, climate, and biospheric processes. It predicts increased demand for food, water, and biofuels, but also highlights risks such as soil erosion and water scarcity, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East. Tradeoffs between services, such as agricultural expansion at the expense of forests, are expected to intensify, and certain regions may experience rapid changes.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2050 time horizon | 2050s time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | biofuel production | biospheric processes | climate | climate change | economic development | ecosystem services | energy | food production | general | human demography | soil erosion | sustainability | water availability | water withdrawals