Development without energy? Assessing future scenarios of energy consumption in developing countries

This report examines the relationship between economic development and energy consumption in developing countries, particularly in the context of climate change mitigation. It questions whether reductions in energy consumption, as projected by integrated assessment models (IAMs), can be achieved without compromising sustainable development goals like universal energy access.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The study employs a comparative analysis of historical energy consumption data and projections from IAMs. It uses econometric analysis to estimate the energy requirements for infrastructure development, focusing on steel and cement production. The research also incorporates scenario analysis to assess future energy demand under different climate policy frameworks.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research compares historical patterns of energy use with future energy supply scenarios from IAMs, highlighting the importance of energy for development and infrastructure. It suggests that significant reductions in energy consumption, as required for climate mitigation, may not be feasible without affecting development. The study emphasizes the need for energy to build infrastructure, such as steel and cement, and doubts that IAMs adequately consider the role of energy in development processes.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | climate change mitigation | climate mitigation | decarbonization | economic development | energy | energy access | energy consumption | energy intensity | infrastructure | integrated assessment | integrated assessment models | sustainable development | technology pathways