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Emerging economies: demographic change
Excerpt from report:
“This paper follows an action from the CSAG in June 2013 to produce “a short paper by a Community of Interest on how government expects demographic change to impact on different emerging Economic Powers and the effects of this on their development trajectories”. … This paper will examine the impact of demographic change on Emerging Markets (EMs), rather than Emerging Powers (EPs). This is to focus the paper on economic issues, rather than on more complex and sensitive political dimensions.”
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | UK Government Office for Science |
| Publication date: | December 18, 2014 |
| Authors: | |
| Time horizon: | 2046 - 2050 |
| Geographic focus: | global |
| Page count: | 9 |
Methods
This quote in Scope makes me think they did environmental scanning but I“m not confident… “This note considers the prospects of 21 EMs1 , which are not drawn from any existing list, and are characterised as emerging based on their current and projected GDP and population, as well as GDP per Capita.”
- Quantitative methods used
- Exploratory in nature
Key Insights
Drivers mentioned include:
- China's population
- labour supply
- Education
- Employment
- Poverty
- Income inequality
- India's population
- productivity improvements
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2014_publication_year | 2040s_time_horizon | 2046_time_horizon | 2050_time_horizon | 2050s_time_horizon | english_publication_language | demographics | economics | employment | global_geographic_scope | jobs