Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050: Scenarios, Results, Policy Options
Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050: Scenarios, Results, Policy Options
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | |
| Authors: | Gerald C. Nelson, Mark W. Rosegrant, Amanda Palazzo, Ian Gray Et Al., International Food Policy Research Institute (ifpri) |
| Time horizon: | 2050 |
| Geographic focus: | 2010-2050, Global |
Methods
The research uses various modeling techniques to project 15 different future scenarios for food security through 2050. Each scenario involves an alternative combination of potential population and income growth and climate change. The authors also examine the specific test case of a hypothetical extended drought in South Asia, to demonstrate the possible effects of increased climate variability on a particular world region. They conclude that the negative effects of climate change on food security can be counteracted by broad-based economic growth—particularly improved agricultural productivity—and robust international trade in agricultural products to offset regional shortages. In pursuit of these goals, policymakers should increase public investment in land, water, and nutrient use and maintain relatively free international trade.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
This study assesses the potential impacts of climate change, population growth, and income growth on global food security through 2050. It presents 15 different scenarios, each involving an alternative combination of potential population and income growth and climate change. The authors also examine the specific test case of a hypothetical extended drought in South Asia. They conclude that the negative effects of climate change on food security can be counteracted by broad-based economic growth—particularly improved agricultural productivity—and robust international trade in agricultural products to offset regional shortages. Policymakers are advised to increase public investment in land, water, and nutrient use and maintain relatively free international trade.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2010-2050 geographic scope | 2050 time horizon | 2050s time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | adaptation | agricultural productivity | climate change | developed countries | developing countries | mitigation | sustainable development | world trade system