Forecasting Long-term Global Fertilizer Demand
The report forecasts long-term global fertilizer demand and its impact on soil nutrient status across nine regions.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations |
| Authors: | J. Lowenberg-deboer, F. Tenkorang |
| Geographic focus: | Global, Asia, Sub-saharan Africa, Latin America, North America, European Union, Near East, Oceania, Rest Of Europe |
Methods
The research employed a causal model based on agronomic relationships to forecast fertilizer demand and assess soil nutrient status. Historical data on fertilizer consumption, crop production, and cultivated land were used, with adjustments for multicollinearity and autocorrelation. The model also considered structural shifts in consumption patterns.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The study projects global fertilizer demand for 2015 and 2030, analyzing soil nutrient drawdown and buildup in nine regions. It finds that Asia will dominate demand, while Sub-Saharan Africa will have the lowest consumption. Soil nutrient depletion is a concern, particularly where fertilizer use is inadequate. The report suggests that increased fertilizer use is necessary for food security and biofuels production, and calls for policy reform, farmer education, and technology development to counter soil nutrient depletion.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: Asia geographic scope | English publication language | European Union geographic scope | Global geographic scope | Latin America geographic scope | Near East geographic scope | North America geographic scope | Oceania geographic scope | Rest Of Europe geographic scope | Sub-saharan Africa geographic scope | biofuels production | crop production | economic growth | environmental impact | farmer education | fertilizer demand | food security | forecast | nutrient buildup | nutrient drawdown | policy reform | regions | soil nutrient status | technology development