Global Foresight 2036

This report analyzes global trends and uncertainties shaping the world through 2036, focusing on economic shifts, geopolitical risks, climate change, democracy challenges, and technological advancements. It uses expert surveys and scenario planning to explore potential futures, highlighting the rise of China, AI progress, nuclear proliferation, and democratic recession as key themes.

(Generated with the help of Perceptful.AI)

The report is based on a survey of 447 experts from 72 countries conducted in November-December 2025, combined with analysis of six “snow leopard” phenomena and expert insights on AI's future. Scenarios explore potential bipolar/multipolar world orders, democratic recession, climate impacts, and technological disruptions.

(Generated with the help of Perceptful.AI)

Key insights include: 1) 58% of experts expect China to surpass the US economically by 2036, though structural challenges may delay this. 2) Over 40% foresee another world war triggered by Taiwan. 3) 85% expect additional nuclear-armed states, particularly Iran and Saudi Arabia. 4) More than 80% anticipate global temperatures exceeding 2°C above preindustrial levels within a decade, causing water conflicts. 5) 44% predict a democratic depression with UN/WTO/IMF influence waning. 6) 58% believe AI will achieve AGI by 2036, raising economic disruption concerns. 7) NATO's future is uncertain, with 44% doubting its current form will persist. 8) Russia is seen as a diminished power with Ukraine likely becoming a frozen conflict. 9) Climate change has declined as a priority compared to great power conflict. 10) Neurotechnology ethics were addressed via UNESCO's 2025 framework.

(Generated with the help of Perceptful.AI)

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