Global Trends to 2040: Choosing Europe’s Future
This report analyzes global trends affecting Europe until 2040, focusing on geopolitical shifts, economic challenges, demographic changes, environmental crises, energy transitions, social inequalities, technological advancements, health issues, and the future of democracy. It emphasizes the need for strategic choices by EU leaders.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publication date: | April 15, 2024 |
| Publisher: | Publications Office of the European Union, European Strategy and Policy Analysis System |
| Authors: | A. Constantinos, A. Lazarski, A. Stuchlik, G. Barry (editor), G. Carter, G. Drozd, G. Porcaro, L. Bontoux, L. Vinhas De Souza, M. Salvi, N. Kovalčíková, O. Dumitrescu, R. Muriel Carrasco, S. Finamore, V. Mahieu, E. Noonan |
| Time horizon: | 2040 |
| Geographic focus: | Europe |
| Page count: | 72 |
Methods
The research method involved a collaborative effort across nine EU institutions, utilizing foresight techniques to analyze global trends and their implications for Europe. The report draws on a wide range of published sources, expert insights, and discussions within the ESPAS network.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The fourth Global Trends Report by the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) examines critical global trends that will shape Europe by 2040. It highlights the shift from cooperation to competition in geopolitics, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Ukraine and rising tensions between major powers like the US and China. Economic challenges are compounded by the need for a green transition, which may strain resources and create inequalities. Demographic shifts indicate a declining working-age population in Europe, while Africa's youth population is growing. Environmental degradation and climate change pose urgent threats, with the EU facing increasing risks from extreme weather events. Technological advancements present both opportunities and challenges, particularly in areas like AI and biotechnology. Health disparities have widened, particularly post-COVID-19, and the report underscores the importance of addressing inequalities to maintain social cohesion. The future of democracy is also at stake, with rising authoritarianism and political polarization. The report calls for strategic choices by EU leaders to navigate these complex challenges and seize opportunities for a sustainable and equitable future.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2040 time horizon | 2040s time horizon | English publication language | 2024 publication year | Europe geographic scope | climate change | climate change action | climate change impacts | defence | democracy | demographics | demography | digital technologies | economic growth | economy | energy transition | environmental consequences | environmental crisis | eu global strategy | foreign affairs | geopolitics | governance | health challenges | innovation | security | social inequality | strategic choices | technological advancement | technology | threats to democracy