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Groundswell 2: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration
Climate change is an increasingly potent driver of migration. This report, which builds on the 2018 Groundswell report, presents new regional analyses that reaffirm how climate-driven internal migration could escalate in the next three decades. Looking at slow-onset climate change impacts on water availability and crop productivity, plus sea-level rise, it highlights the urgency for action as livelihoods and human well-being are placed under increasing strain.
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/158b2f56-a4db-5a2d-93b9-0070068fa084/download |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | World Bank Group |
| Publication date: | 2018 |
| Authors: | Viviane Clement, Kanta Kumari Rigaud, Alex de Sherbinin, Bryan Jones, Susana Adamo, Jacob Schewe, Nian Sadiq, Elham Shabahat |
| Time horizon: | 2030-2050 |
| Geographic focus: | Sub-Saharan Africa, East Asia and the Pacific, South Asia, North Africa, Latin America, Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
| Page count: | 362 |
Key Insights
1. Internal climate migration is set to accelerate to 2050 across six regions, hitting the poorest and most vulnerable the hardest and threatening development gains.
2. Hotspots of internal climate in- and out-migration emerge as early as 2030 and grow and intensify by 2050, highlighting the need to integrate plausible migration scenarios in spatial development.
3. Early action both to cut global greenhouse gas emissions and to ensure inclusive and resilient development is essential, and can reduce the scale of internal climate migration by as much as 60–80 percent.