Half a Chance: Youth Bulges and Transitions to Liberal Democracy
In “Half a Chance: Youth Bulges and Transitions to Liberal Democracy,” Richard P. Cincotta explores the impact of demographic trends on the stability of liberal democracies, predicting the rise of new stable democracies in Latin America, North Africa, and Asia before 2020.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
Environmental Change and Security Program (ecsp report) |
| Authors: | Richard P. Cincotta |
| Time horizon: | 2020 |
| Geographic focus: | Latin America, North Africa, Asia, Global |
Methods
The research method used by Richard P. Cincotta involves analyzing demographic and political trends, comparing the youth-bulge proportion with the presence of stable liberal democracies. Data from the UN Population Division and Freedom House are utilized to draw conclusions.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
Richard P. Cincotta argues that the recent slowdown in global democracy is temporary, attributing it to countries with a large youth bulge being less likely to achieve stable liberal democracies. As age structures mature and fertility declines, more countries are expected to transition to liberal democracy.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2020 time horizon | 2020s time horizon | Asia geographic scope | English publication language | Global geographic scope | Latin America geographic scope | North Africa geographic scope | authoritarianism | demographic transition | forecasting | liberal democracy | political stability | youth | youth bulge