Infectious disease, development, and climate change: a scenario analysis
The report examines the impact of development and climate change on infectious diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa, projecting that development will eventually reduce disease incidence despite initial increases due to climate change.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | |
| Authors: | Gary W. Yohe, Kristie L. Ebi, Richard S.j. Tol |
| Geographic focus: | Sub-saharan Africa |
Methods
The research method involved an empirical analysis of cross-sectional international data to establish relationships between infant mortality (as a proxy for infectious disease vulnerability) and determinants like income, literacy, and poverty. These relationships were then used to create scenarios projecting the future incidence of diseases like malaria, diarrhea, schistosomiasis, and dengue fever, up to the year 2100.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The research analyzes the relationship between development, climate change, and infectious diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa. It uses scenarios to predict future malaria incidence, considering factors like income, literacy, and poverty. The study finds that while climate change may initially increase disease, development will ultimately lead to a decrease, making it a preferred strategy over emission reduction.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | Sub-saharan Africa geographic scope | analysis | climate change | dengue fever | development | diarrhoea | health | infant mortality | infectious disease | infectious diseases | literacy | malaria | poverty | scenario | schistosomiasis