Kenya at the Crossroads: Scenarios for our Future
This report explores four potential futures for Kenya over the next 10-15 years, focusing on the interplay between political and economic reforms.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
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| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
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| Authors: | Arthur Muliro, Bantu Mwaura, Bernard Wafukho, Betty Maina, Gem A. Kodhek, Jacqueline Olweya, John Kashangaki, Maureen Were, Musambayi Katumanga, Odour Ong’wen, Patrick Kenya, Rosemarie Muganda, Situma Mwichabe, Wachira Maina, Aidan Eyakuze |
| Geographic focus: | Kenya |
Methods
The research method involved extensive analysis of Kenya's current social, political, and economic conditions, followed by the development of scenarios through workshops with over 80 Kenyan professionals. The scenarios were built upon the current realities and driving forces shaping Kenya, aiming to stimulate debate and inform decision-making.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report presents four scenarios for Kenya's future, examining the consequences of different combinations of political and economic reforms. It highlights the need for radical changes to avoid reaching the limits of current models and suggests that prosperity is possible with significant reorganization and sacrifice. The scenarios—El Niño, Maendeleo, Katiba, and Flying Geese—offer varied outcomes based on the choices Kenyans make today. The research was conducted by the Institute of Economic Affairs Kenya and the Society for International Development between 1998 and 2000.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | Kenya geographic scope | choices | decision-making | economic | economic reforms | elections | future outcomes | institutional models | policy | political | political reforms | prosperity | reorganization | sacrifice | scenarios | social development