Our World Transformed: Geopolitical Shocks and Risks
This report examines the potential impacts of geopolitical risks on global stability, focusing on protectionism, energy crises, and water and food scarcity. It uses quantitative modeling to forecast consequences for GDP, poverty, and country stability.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Atlantic Council |
| Authors: | David K. Bohl, Jonathan D. Moyer, Mathew J. Burrows |
| Page count: | 31 pages |
Methods
The IFs model integrates relationships across countries and systems, using historical data and quantitative modeling to forecast geopolitical risks. It examines historical data, base-case analysis, and alternative scenarios to understand potential trends and their implications.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The research employs the International Futures (IFs) model to analyze long-term geopolitical risks, considering scenarios like protectionism, energy crisis, and water scarcity. It assesses their effects on global GDP, poverty, middle-class growth, and country stability, highlighting interconnections between different risks and the importance of holistic risk management.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | capital market | conflict | country stability | demography | economic impact | economy | energy crisis | food scarcity | foreign affairs | geopolitical risks | geopolitics | geopolitics (world power transition) | globalisation | governance | international cooperation | middle-class growth | poverty | protectionism | risk management | strategic foresight | water scarcity