Pandemonium: Risk Factors for Future Pandemics
This report explores potential future scenarios for global health governance and pandemic response, considering geopolitical changes and the role of various actors.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Global Governance Futures |
| Publication date: | June 1, 2017 |
| Authors: | Chandrakant Lahariya, Elina Suzuki, Fellows: Sulzhan Bali, Kun Tang, Mara Pillinger, Rie Takesue, Sulzhan Bali |
| Time horizon: | 2027 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
| Page count: | 25 |
Methods
The research method involved scenario planning, where the working group identified key uncertainties and created consistent combinations of future assumptions. They developed raw scenarios through morphological analysis and enriched them with background knowledge. The scenarios were then communicated through narrative writing.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report presents two scenarios set in 2027, exploring the global response to hypothetical pandemics caused by diphtheria and Nipah virus. It examines the impact of geopolitical fragmentation, vaccine skepticism, media-induced panic, and the economic consequences of fear-driven decisions. The scenarios highlight the need for diverse actors to prepare for and respond to pandemics effectively, considering the roles of agriculture, animal health, the media, and private and non-health sectors in a holistic response.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2017 publication year | 2020s time horizon | 2027 time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | | animal health | economic impact | geopolitics global health governance | media influence | non-health sectors | pandemic response | pandemics | private sector | public health | public perception | vaccine skepticism