Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa
This research quantitatively assessed the potential impact of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
The Lancet |
| Authors: | Brian Sharp, David Le Sueur, Frank C Tanser |
| Geographic focus: | Africa |
Methods
Researchers created a spatiotemporally validated model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission using long-term climate data and parasite surveys. Climate scenarios from the Hadley Centre global climate model were used to project the potential effects of climate change on malaria transmission patterns in Africa.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The study developed a model of malaria transmission in Africa, validated it with parasite surveys, and used climate scenarios to project changes in malaria exposure. The model showed that climate change could lead to a 5-7% increase in malaria distribution by 2100, with a significant rise in person-months of exposure due to longer transmission seasons.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: Africa geographic scope | English publication language | climate change | climate scenarios | exposure assessment | geographic distribution | health impact | intervention planning | malaria | malaria transmission | model validation | parasite surveys | scenarios | seasonality