Poverty 2039: Exercises in Pro-Poor Foresight

The report explores three future scenarios of poverty in 2039, focusing on education, government, security, social identity, global economy, and technology.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method involved presenting 30 students from diverse backgrounds with three basic images of the future: continued growth, collapse, and transformation. Using the Manoa School futures methodology and the IAF workshop toolkit, the students imagined the world in 2039 under these conditions. The researchers then conducted an environmental scan for macro trends in poverty and marginalized populations, combining these with workshop results to develop detailed scenarios.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research presents three scenarios—continued growth (alpha), collapse (beta), and transformation (delta)—to envision the state of poverty in 2039. It examines the impact of six drivers: education, government, security, social identity, global economy, and technology. The report includes historical context, policy recommendations, and workshop results. It also discusses the potential barriers to understanding poverty, such as Eurocentric histories and the lack of a clear poverty definition. The scenarios depict varying degrees of urbanization, climate change response, governance models, employment structures, and healthcare access, reflecting different outcomes for the poor.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: 2030s time horizon | 2039 time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | climate change | clothing | diseases | education | global economy | government | healthcare | lack of mobility | medication | nutrition | poverty | poverty alleviation | security | shelters | social identity | technology | urbanization