Scenario Storylines for Qualitative Background Scenarios on the Future of Air Transport and its Emissions
This report presents qualitative scenarios for the future of air transport, focusing on demand, technology, operations, and environmental impacts.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
CONSAVE Project |
| Authors: | Arnulf Grübler |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The research method involved developing qualitative scenario storylines based on existing IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. These were refined through a scenario workshop and reviewed by CONSAVE partners, resulting in three main scenarios with sub-scenarios for detailed exploration of regulatory impacts on high growth in air transport demand.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report outlines three qualitative scenario storylines for the future of air transport and its emissions, considering macro-trends such as demographics, economy, geopolitics, and technology. These scenarios, developed for the CONSAVE project, draw from IPCC-SRES scenarios and AERONET workshop activities. They explore varying degrees of growth in air transport volume and regulatory constraints, with a focus on sustainability, technological innovation, and geopolitical fragmentation. The scenarios aim to guide quantitative modeling and provide a range of possible futures for air transport development and its environmental implications.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | air transport | air transport demand | aircraft technology | economic growth | emmisions | energy | environmental impact | geopolitics | innovation. | regulatory constraints | scenario development | sustainability | technology diffusion
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