Southern African Scenarios 2015: Renaissance, Asymmetry or Decline and Decay?
This report identifies the proximal and distal macro factors likely to impact Southern Africa over the next five to 15 years, suggesting three scenarios: Renaissance, Asymmetrical, and Decline and Decay. It focuses on key drivers and policies for regional development.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: |
South African Institute of International Affairs |
| Authors: | Elizabeth Sidiropoulos, Greg Mills, Mark Shaw, Neuma Grobbelaar, Ross Herbert, William Mabena, Tim Hughes, Tim Hughes .et Al |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The research method involved workshops, interviews, and analysis of secondary resources to assess factors influencing Southern Africa's trajectory over the next five to 15 years, resulting in three scenarios: Renaissance, Asymmetrical, and Decline and Decay, each with distinct outcomes based on the performance of key drivers.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report outlines the future of Southern Africa through three scenarios based on key drivers like globalisation, health, trade, investment, the role of SADC, and multilateral agencies. It examines the impact of HIV/AIDS, the response to the crisis, economic prospects, trade, investment, infrastructure, mining, regional security, crime, political leadership, tourism, and the New Partnership for Africa's Development (Nepad). Policy recommendations are provided to enhance socio-economic development and integration.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | crime | futures | globalisation | hiv/aids | infrastructure | investment | mining | nepad | political leadership | regional security | tourism | trade